Friday, July 31, 2009

Challenging Statistics-Probability Question?

A student needs to know details of a class assignment that is due the next day and decides to call fellow class members for this information. She believes that for any particular call the probability of obtaining the necessary information is 0.40. She decides to continue calling class members until the information is obtained. Let the random variable X denote the number of calls needed to obtain the information.


a. Find the probability function of X.


b. Find the cumulative probability function of X.


c. Find the probability that at least three calls are required.





thanks in advance.

Challenging Statistics-Probability Question?
a. The probability function is the geometric distribution.


P(x) = p(1-p)^(x-1) where p (in this case) is 0.40.


b. The cumulative probability function is:


...........n


F(x) = Σ p(1-p)^(i-1)


..........i =1


c. P(x≥3) = P(x=3) + P(x=4) + ... + P(x=n)


= 0.40(0.60)^2 + 0.40(0.60)^3 + ... +0.40(0.60)^(n-1) Where n is the number of classmates.


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