A fair die is altered so that the 1 is changed to a 5. If X is the random variable representing the number uppermost on the die, find:
(a) the probabiliy distribution of X
(b) the probability of a number bigger than 2 appearing uppermost
(c) P(X = 5 | X %26gt; 2)
I know how to do (a) and (b)...but I don't know how to do (c). In my maths book, it says that (c) has something to do with the conditional probability, which I don't have any clue about.
This is the conditional probability rule stated in my textbook:
P(X = x | X %26gt; n) = [P(X = x ∩ X %26gt; n)] / P(X %26gt; n)
Can someone please explain whatever this is??? AND this "∩" sign...I don't understand what it means!?!
Another maths question??? Plz help...THANX!?
Victory..I just arrived home..exhausted from school.
this is a conditional probability..i think...it's not our lesson, but i read it somewhere..but can't remember..
that long equation stated in your book is :
P(X=x | X%26gt;n) = [P(X=x ∩ X %26gt;n)] / P (X%26gt;n)
is the same as:
P(B | A)= [P (A "and" B)] / P (A)
(..i think in intersection, terms can be interchanged?.)
..which is a lot simpler and easier to understand..
Hey you might want to know how the formula is derived.
it's like this:
1. P (A ∩ B) = P (A) * P (B|A)
2.[P (A ∩ B)] / P(A) = [P (A) * P (B|A)] / P(A)
-divide both sides of equation by P(A)
3.cancel the P(A) / P(A) on the right portion of equation so..
[P (A ∩ B)] / P(A) = P (B|A)
4. P (B|A) = [P (A ∩ B)] / P(A)
...(that's it, and I just commuted it..)
so this sign: ∩ is an intersection sign, and is also read as "and".
so let's substitute the values okay?
----------------------
in P(X=5|X%26gt;2)..is 2/6
and
P(X=5 and X%26gt;2) is 5/6
(refer to the explanation of the guy above me)
hmm..
that should do it..(i think)
P(X=5 | X %26gt; 2) = [P (X=5 ∩ X%26gt;2)] / P(X%26gt;2) = (2/6)/(5/6)
since we divide both fractions, we get the reciprocal of denominator then multiply
2/6•6/5=12/30=2/5
P(X = 5 | X %26gt; 2) = 2/5
Reply:P(X = 5 | X %26gt; 2) = 2/5
This is because 5 of the 6 possibilities have x %26gt; 2 and 2 of those 5 have x=5.
Using the notation of your book, P(X = 5 | X %26gt; 2) = [P(X = 5 ∩ X %26gt; 2)] / P(X %26gt; 2)
The " ∩ " means intersection, or in this case, [P(X = 5 ∩ X %26gt; 2)] means the probability that X=5 and X%26gt;2, which is 2/6. So using the formula, we get P(X = 5 | X %26gt; 2) = [P(X = 5 ∩ X %26gt; 2)] / P(X %26gt; 2) = (2/6)/(5/6) = 2/5
Reply:Conditional probability means
P(a | b) which means
the probability A will occur when we know that B has already occured.
Apply this to ur Question c part.
It now reads: Probability that 5 will appear when we know that the number appearing is greater than 2.
How many nos are greater than 2 on the dice. 3,4,5,5,6 ie. 5
So the probability that 5 will appear is 2/5.
Hope this helpd.
TW K
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